Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.037141 0.040120 0.043247 0.046780 0.050666 0.054815 0.059590
2025-03-30 0.032087 0.036250 0.040861 0.046369 0.052793 0.060081 0.069018
2025-04-06 0.028373 0.033126 0.038605 0.045429 0.053756 0.063657 0.076428
2025-04-13 0.026338 0.031596 0.037860 0.045941 0.056186 0.068875 0.085982
2025-04-20 0.024494 0.030054 0.036863 0.045913 0.057770 0.072979 0.094299
2025-04-27 0.023239 0.029095 0.036448 0.046488 0.060043 0.078008 0.104126
2025-05-04 0.021844 0.027828 0.035504 0.046234 0.061110 0.081403 0.111892
2025-05-11 0.020668 0.026748 0.034702 0.046064 0.062207 0.084833 0.119897
2025-05-18 0.019593 0.025724 0.033888 0.045786 0.063076 0.087931 0.127593
2025-05-25 0.018693 0.024874 0.033245 0.045675 0.064134 0.091320 0.135946
2025-06-01 0.017697 0.023831 0.032262 0.044993 0.064270 0.093290 0.142175
2025-06-08 0.016733 0.022778 0.031200 0.044116 0.064026 0.094617 0.147413
2025-06-15 0.015963 0.021971 0.030459 0.043684 0.064451 0.097043 0.154740
2025-06-22 0.015257 0.021221 0.029760 0.043268 0.064860 0.099453 0.162237
2025-06-29 0.014482 0.020332 0.028806 0.042394 0.064468 0.100496 0.167385
2025-07-06 0.014119 0.020034 0.028718 0.042863 0.066268 0.105305 0.179726
2025-07-13 0.013657 0.019563 0.028340 0.042837 0.067233 0.108734 0.189807
2025-07-20 0.013360 0.019328 0.028310 0.043366 0.069153 0.113949 0.203774
2025-07-27 0.012903 0.018826 0.027836 0.043132 0.069735 0.116799 0.213358
2025-08-03 0.012493 0.018377 0.027425 0.042976 0.070433 0.119890 0.223705
2025-08-10 0.012085 0.017916 0.026971 0.042720 0.070927 0.122623 0.233557
2025-08-17 0.011733 0.017530 0.026620 0.042618 0.071687 0.125897 0.244866
2025-08-24 0.011293 0.016985 0.025986 0.041990 0.071437 0.127192 0.251984